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However, we do know that Hamilton Lombard, a demographer with the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service, says if there’s anything that can dramatically change the migration patterns for rural Virginia, it’s remote work.

"Overall, the statewide growth rate has decelerated over the last few decades, and it’s expected to hold true to that pattern,” Sen says. “That assumes the commonwealth continues to experience lower birth rates, higher death rates and fewer people moving into the state.

High prices — and price increases — are worst in Northern Virginia, where home costs rose more between 2000 and 2019 than any other metropolitan area on the East Coast, according to Hamilton Lombard, a demographer with the Weldon Cooper Center at the University of Virginia.

The impact of declining births and a drift toward private education will have a significant impact on K-12 enrollment, according to Hamilton Lombard, a demographer at the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center. Lombard and his team presented their findings to the State Senate Finance and Appropriations Subcommittee for K-12 Education. 

University of Virginia Weldon Cooper Center for Public Services has a Demographics Research Group that recently forecast population by state and age. One set of figures predicts population by state in 2040. California will have kept its first-place spot...

Lombard, officially the estimates program manager for the Demographic Research Group at the Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service, spoke last week to the Governor’s Summit on Rural Prosperity in Farmville. He used the occasion to deliver some eye-popping numbers.

Shonel Sen at the Weldon Cooper Center says that based on our projections, we anticipated that about 70 percent of the state's population would be living in the three largest metro areas. And that is what the Census 2020 headcount validates.

Weldon Cooper’s work shows the changes may cause confusion and even skew data, according to Cai. Especially, she said, in Virginia’s smaller communities.

Much of the census data released last week paints portraits of certain communities that simply make no sense, according to analysts with the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service.

Overall, births in Northern Virginia dropped by 8 percent from 2014 to 2019, according to data from the Weldon Cooper Center. The region wasn’t alone — nearly every major metropolitan area in Virginia, with the exception of Lynchburg, recorded a drop over the same time period.

The Demographics Research Group of UVA’s Weldon Cooper Center analyzed the test data for Virginia and found significant inaccuracy at the census block level. 

“Our population is having fewer babies and seeing more deaths as our population is aging. Immigration was slower than in the decade prior,” Cai added.