The 2016-2018 biennial budget allocated funds for a fresh round of official statewide population projections to be developed by the Demographics Research Group at the University of Virginia Weldon Cooper Center. Under agreement with the Department of Planning and Budget, Cooper Center researchers prepared informational materials and submitted them for review and comment to selected state agencies, planning district commissions, and a wider audience as identified by several statewide organizations.Following a careful review of all comments and suggestions received, the Department of Planning and Budget authorized the release of the total population projections for 2020, 2030, and 2040 for the state overall and for localities. These projections are provisional, and will not be final until: 1) the conclusion on February 24th of a review/challenge period, 2) completion of a report by the Cooper Center on challenges received and responses given, and 3) final review by the Department of Planning and Budget of all materials submitted.Once the projections totals are finalized, Cooper Center demographers will begin work on creating detailed projections by age, gender, race, and ethnicity.
Provisional Total Projections by Locality
- Understanding Population Projections
- State-Wide Projections vs. Local Scenario Projections
- Materials submitted to Department of Planning and Budget (our contracting agent) after the pre-process review of the population projections: Summary report | Detailed report (posting required by the DPB)
Qian Cai, Director of Demographics Research Group: email or call 434.982.5581 with questions or comments regarding Virginia population projections.